May 17, 2002
7:17 AM Subscribe
Well, well, well... it's amazing the unrelated links Google can turn up when you're careless about your keywords. Looking for the 75th anniversary Hallmark commercial (with all the people on the hillside), got this PDF file [110kb] from a UK insurance actuaries organization about the possible risks at the World Trade Center.
Aircraft Striking a Tower
This scenario is with in the realm of the possible, but highly unlikely.
In 1946 a military aircraft struck the Empire State Building. Since that time the manner in which
aircraft are "controlled" has dramatically changed. In the event such an unlikely occurrence, what
might result? The structural designers of the towers have publicly stated that in their opinion that
either of the Towers could with stand such an impact from a large modern passenger aircraft.
The ensuing fire would damage the "skin", in this scenario, as the spilled fuel would fall to the
Plaza level where it would have to be extinguished by the NYC Fire Department. The
replacement of the "skin" is estimated at 35% of the building replacement value or $420m. Loss
of rents for 1 year or $150m for a total estimate of $600m.
posted by pracowity at 7:36 AM on May 17, 2002
This scenario is with in the realm of the possible, but highly unlikely.
In 1946 a military aircraft struck the Empire State Building. Since that time the manner in which
aircraft are "controlled" has dramatically changed. In the event such an unlikely occurrence, what
might result? The structural designers of the towers have publicly stated that in their opinion that
either of the Towers could with stand such an impact from a large modern passenger aircraft.
The ensuing fire would damage the "skin", in this scenario, as the spilled fuel would fall to the
Plaza level where it would have to be extinguished by the NYC Fire Department. The
replacement of the "skin" is estimated at 35% of the building replacement value or $420m. Loss
of rents for 1 year or $150m for a total estimate of $600m.
posted by pracowity at 7:36 AM on May 17, 2002
What, no one has blamed Bush for prior knowledge.
posted by bittennails at 7:47 AM on May 17, 2002
posted by bittennails at 7:47 AM on May 17, 2002
Nice calm description of the need to extinguish the jet fuel which falls to the plaza level. Insurance is so cool.
posted by Dick Paris at 8:21 AM on May 17, 2002
posted by Dick Paris at 8:21 AM on May 17, 2002
The PDF was created on 10/31/2001, after the terrorist attack.
posted by DragonBoy at 8:28 AM on May 17, 2002
posted by DragonBoy at 8:28 AM on May 17, 2002
Maximum Foreesable Loss
The 1993 terrorist bombing of the WTC resulted in the maximum foreeable property loss. This event shut Tower 1 down for 6 weeks and Tower 2 down for 4 weeks.
posted by schlyer at 8:32 AM on May 17, 2002
The 1993 terrorist bombing of the WTC resulted in the maximum foreeable property loss. This event shut Tower 1 down for 6 weeks and Tower 2 down for 4 weeks.
posted by schlyer at 8:32 AM on May 17, 2002
I was being facetious, but, the while the pdf file may have been created on said date, it must have been written before. If not, the UK insurance actuaries organization are quite stupid.
posted by bittennails at 8:36 AM on May 17, 2002
posted by bittennails at 8:36 AM on May 17, 2002
Yeah the PDF was create 31 Oct, but it's not so difficult to "touch up" the creation date, so that's meaningless.
"Skin" is an interesting concept : the outside structure of the building I think. Probably having no data on how and if a plane could literally enter into the building they just consider that a plane would be smashed in one kazillion pieces, exactly like in thriller b-movies. Oh wait not even such movies ! Guess directors got a clue more then analysts sometime.
posted by elpapacito at 8:40 AM on May 17, 2002
"Skin" is an interesting concept : the outside structure of the building I think. Probably having no data on how and if a plane could literally enter into the building they just consider that a plane would be smashed in one kazillion pieces, exactly like in thriller b-movies. Oh wait not even such movies ! Guess directors got a clue more then analysts sometime.
posted by elpapacito at 8:40 AM on May 17, 2002
"Hallmark" is the 20th word in the first sentence, and "commercial" is the 11th word.... so it makes sense that it would show up in the results of a search for "Hallmark commercial."
posted by gohlkus at 11:06 AM on May 17, 2002
posted by gohlkus at 11:06 AM on May 17, 2002
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posted by ook at 7:26 AM on May 17, 2002